The Dividend Is Not Speed: Steering a Team Through AI Coding Tools
July 8, 2026
There is a version of the AI pitch that every engineering leader has now heard. A controlled study hands developers an AI coding assistant, they finish the task 55.8% faster, a vendor slide rounds it to “twice as fast”, and the budget conversation ends with a quiet expectation: the same roadmap in half the time, starting next quarter. This is a short essay about why that expectation fails, and what the people who run teams should steer by instead.
